Stale-Placement

Polymarket wallet 0x3a449e2471f0c0f0dae927501309151f94bf6884 · on Polymarket since Jan 22, 2026

Positions now worth: $10.3
All-time profit: −$58.8
Volume traded: $502
All-time rank: #2,466,495
Markets traded: 15
Recent hit rate: 67%8 of last 12 closed

Open positions

3 markets · $10.3

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	10	97¢ → 100¢	$10	+$0 +3.3%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?Settled - ready to redeem	Up	74	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	26	76¢ → 0¢	$0	−$20 −100%

Latest trades

last 24

When	Market	Bet	Size
250d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?	BuyUp68¢	$50
255d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?	SellUp>99¢	$53
255d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?	BuyUp92¢	$38
255d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 4?	BuyUp88¢	$10
256d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?	SellUp>99¢	$27
256d	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	SellYes87¢	$10
256d	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	SellNo87¢	$10
256d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?	BuyUp96¢	$15
256d	Will Alphabet (GOOGL) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyYes97¢	$10
256d	Will Amazon (AMZN) beat quarterly earnings?	BuyYes94¢	$10
256d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 3?	BuyUp88¢	$10
257d	Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on February 2?	BuyUp79¢	$10
257d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 2?	BuyUp85¢	$10
257d	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	BuyYes84¢	$10
257d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellYes>99¢	$12
263d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?	SellDown<1¢	$0
264d	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	BuyNo87¢	$10
264d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?	BuyDown72¢	$10
264d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyYes82¢	$10
264d	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,700 in January?	SellYes17¢	$4
264d	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at <$6,700 in January?	BuyYes20¢	$5
268d	Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,900-$7,000 in January?	BuyYes38¢	$10
268d	Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?	BuyYes76¢	$20
268d	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 22?	BuyUp92¢	$20

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 12 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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