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Polymarket wallet 0x417e436242d8b59c5c9c44c1148d78fed9ee6fc9 · on Polymarket since Nov 13, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 8 | 73¢ → 98¢ | $8 | +$2 +34% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | >99¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay?Ends in 75d | No | 5 | 79¢ → 94¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $5 | +$1 +18% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$1 +25% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2,030 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,015 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 159d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BuyNo80¢ | $3 |
| 159d | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BuyNo73¢ | $6 |
| 159d | Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | BuyNo85¢ | $4 |
| 159d | Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5 |
| 159d | Will GameStop acquire eBay? | BuyNo79¢ | $4 |
| 159d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 11? | BuyYes20¢ | $6 |
| 338d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellYes1¢ | $26 |
| 338d | Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025? | BuyNo90¢ | $3 |
| 338d | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BuyYes93¢ | $2 |
| 338d | Will Pope Leo XIV rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025? | BuyYes87¢ | $2 |
| 338d | Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BuyNo57¢ | $2 |
| 338d | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes1¢ | $31 |
| 338d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET | BuyDown50¢ | $1,015 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.