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Polymarket wallet 0x45b49a704f85a377162f978548d0598bcb2407b4 · on Polymarket since Jun 10, 2025 · also shown as Slim-Spell
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 518 | 7¢ → 2¢ | $11 | −$25 −70% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 172 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Brad Lander’s vote share be greater than 15% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 262 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation on foreign soil by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 420 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$114 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 20 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.