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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 473d | Hashbrown | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,891 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 473d | suzukisola | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $10,647 | −$21 −0.2% | — |
| 473d |  Funfzig16 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $109,750 | +$2,293 +2.1% | 4 |
| 473d | racotaco | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,497 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 474d | reng599 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,333 | +$7 +0.2% | 4 |
| 474d | 0x4e25…d7a72 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo71¢ → 100¢ | $7,176 | +$2,901 +40% | 4 |
| 474d | TenChuSama | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,392 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 474d |  Oompa-Loompa | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,727 | −$7 −0.4% | — |
| 474d |  mcduck | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo>99¢ | $17,021 | −$51 −0.3% | — |
| 474d |  taut-dogwood | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,070 | +$20 +0.2% | 4 |
| 474d |  elmcap25 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $31,125 | +$830 +2.7% | 4 |
| 474d | ethan123 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,618 | −$15 −0.6% | — |
| 474d |  willis1111 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo100¢ | $1,274 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 474d | SaylorMoon | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,584 | −$45 −0.6% | — |
| 474d |  Sivert4 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $27,957 | −$539 −1.9% | — |
| 475d | nakshi | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo100¢ | $2,482 | −$12 −0.5% | — |
| 475d | mangotree | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo100¢ | $2,628 | +$13 +0.5% | 4 |
| 475d | Swerdlowzac | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $11,854 | −$100 −0.8% | — |
| 475d |  Minecraft | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,468 | −$10 −0.7% | — |
| 475d | yjcr2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $59,438 | −$562 −0.9% | — |
| 476d |  kekkone | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,714 | −$15 −0.9% | — |
| 476d |  scottilicious2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $24,284 | +$159 +0.7% | 4 |
| 476d |  ScarletRot2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,836 | +$37 +1.0% | 4 |
| 476d | 0x65c65De373A10e5f319f723 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,214 | +$56 +0.9% | 4 |
| 476d |  duderr3 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,436 | −$119 −2.2% | — |
| 476d | jaja5050 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,354 | +$12 +0.9% | 4 |
| 476d | IKANYAN | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,790 | +$59 +0.9% | 4 |
| 476d | 0x4e25…d7a7 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,757 | −$40 −1.1% | — |
| 476d |  RewardsPeasant | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,356 | +$58 +1.1% | 4 |
| 477d | PrimaryPartner | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $11,654 | −$201 −1.7% | — |
| 477d | OLOTH | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,623 | +$20 +1.2% | 4 |
| 477d |  Parz1vaI6 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo58¢ → 100¢ | $11,791 | −$8,623 −73% | — |
| 477d | Jooba | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,766 | −$22 −1.2% | — |
| 477d |  FrancisSP8 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,924 | −$21 −1.1% | — |
| 477d | 0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,440 | −$100 −1.3% | — |
| 477d | PrimaryPartner | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,795 | +$60 +0.9% | 4 |
| 478d |  sigh | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,068 | −$155 −1.0% | — |
| 478d | Bustling-Majority | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,256 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 478d | 0x253d…3307 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,469 | −$31 −1.3% | — |
| 478d | hindu6 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $22,606 | +$425 +1.9% | 4 |
| 478d | camscot | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,650 | −$49 −1.3% | — |
| 478d |  CMCAM | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,387 | +$13 +0.9% | 4 |
| 478d | denizz | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | −$28 −1.3% | — |
| 478d |  mr.ozi | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,517 | −$136 −1.8% | — |
| 478d |  BeatnikBoogie | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,828 | −$32 −1.7% | — |
| 478d | BowlOfPunch | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $47,131 | +$913 +1.9% | 4 |
| 479d | TheArchitect76 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,793 | −$368 −3.1% | — |
| 479d |  Hyperliquid.hl | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $33,700 | −$983 −2.9% | — |
| 479d |  FTX2.02 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $11,743 | −$354 −3.0% | — |
| 479d | flow28 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo80¢ → 100¢ | $22,846 | −$5,719 −25% | — |
| 479d | Sivert4 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $21,305 | +$979 +4.6% | 4 |
| 479d | npikula622 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,705 | −$50 −2.9% | — |
| 479d | duderr6 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $12,229 | +$1,202 +9.8% | 5 |
| 479d |  Fuentes31 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$40 −4.0% | — |
| 479d | ro0k2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $74,629 | −$3,031 −4.1% | — |
| 479d | mr.ozi | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,908 | +$92 +3.2% | 4 |
| 479d | affs207912 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,666 | +$100 +3.8% | 4 |
| 479d | Masturbator2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | SellNo75¢ → 100¢ | $5,131 | −$1,703 −33% | — |
| 480d | Levlev4 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $16,757 | +$761 +4.5% | 4 |
| 480d | polywog | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $75,048 | +$2,722 +3.6% | 4 |
jacobskajem33 sharesIf Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.