what-would-hayek-do

Polymarket wallet 0x47093b4ea23985fedebf5ac461e323b90f40f6c2 · on Polymarket since Aug 31, 2025 · also shown as Super-Something

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $687
All-time profit: +$10.8K
Volume traded: $3.73M
All-time rank: #13,895
Markets traded: 41,697
Recent hit rate: 100%50 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $687

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	No	117	77¢ → 100¢	$117	+$27 +30%
Netanyahu out by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem	No	112	89¢ → 100¢	$112	+$12 +12%
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	115	87¢ → 95¢	$109	+$9 +8.6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 5?Settled - ready to redeem	No	27	75¢ → 100¢	$27	+$7 +33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 5?Settled - ready to redeem	No	24	84¢ → 100¢	$24	+$4 +19%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 10?Settled - ready to redeem	No	18	67¢ → 100¢	$18	+$6 +50%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $54,000 and $56,000 on July 3?Settled - ready to redeem	No	18	92¢ → 100¢	$18	+$1 +8.7%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 8?Settled - ready to redeem	No	16	73¢ → 100¢	$16	+$4 +37%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 8?Settled - ready to redeem	No	15	82¢ → 100¢	$15	+$3 +22%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 3?Settled - ready to redeem	No	15	77¢ → 100¢	$15	+$3 +30%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	15	77¢ → 100¢	$15	+$3 +30%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	9	61¢ → 100¢	$9	+$4 +64%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 24?Settled - ready to redeem	No	9	61¢ → 100¢	$9	+$4 +64%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8	72¢ → 100¢	$8	+$2 +39%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 24?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8	73¢ → 100¢	$8	+$2 +37%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8	71¢ → 100¢	$8	+$2 +41%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8	71¢ → 100¢	$8	+$2 +41%
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	10	89¢ → 75¢	$7	−$1 −16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 24?Settled - ready to redeem	No	7	83¢ → 100¢	$7	+$1 +20%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	6	93¢ → 100¢	$6	+$0 +7.5%
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	6	97¢ → 100¢	$6	+$0 +3.4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	6	96¢ → 100¢	$6	+$0 +4.2%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24?Settled - ready to redeem	No	6	90¢ → 100¢	$6	+$1 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	6	89¢ → 100¢	$6	+$1 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	6	90¢ → 100¢	$6	+$1 +11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	6	92¢ → 100¢	$6	+$0 +8.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 24?Settled - ready to redeem	No	6	92¢ → 100¢	$6	+$0 +8.7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 6:45PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +1.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +1.0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	97¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +3.1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 11:30AM-11:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	98¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +2.0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 3?Settled - ready to redeem	No	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +1.0%
BNB Up or Down - June 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +1.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +0.7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 3?Settled - ready to redeem	No	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +1.0%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	98¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +2.0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	98¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +2.0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	97¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +3.1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	97¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +3.1%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	98¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +2.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	98¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +2.0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +1.0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +1.0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 10:15AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +1.0%
Solana Up or Down - June 27, 1PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +1.0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 26, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	3	99¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +1.0%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,500 and $1,600 on July 10?Settled - ready to redeem	No	3	92¢ → 100¢	$3	+$0 +8.7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	99¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +1.0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 5AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	99¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +1.0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	99¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +1.0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	99¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +1.0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 5:45PM-6:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	97¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +3.1%
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	99¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +1.0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	99¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +1.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	99¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +1.0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	2	99¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +1.0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $50,000 and $52,000 on July 2?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2	99¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +1.0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	2	99¢ → 100¢	$2	+$0 +1.0%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 9PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1	97¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +3.1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 7?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	32¢ → 100¢	$1	+$1 +213%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-1:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +0.8%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 8:00AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1	98¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +2.0%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,300 on June 26?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +1.0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1	99¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +1.0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 28, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1	50¢ → 100¢	$1	+$1 +100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on June 17?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8	72¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
BNB Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	93¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	7	76¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 10?Settled - ready to redeem	No	9	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	79¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 24?Settled - ready to redeem	No	9	63¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	99¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on July 1?Settled - ready to redeem	No	7	94¢ → 0¢	$0	−$7 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on June 16?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	8	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:00AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	94¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 26, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	96¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	97¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 13?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	8	75¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	97¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 20?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8	68¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 29, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	99¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	99¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	98¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	97¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 7:00AM-7:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	96¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:30PM-8:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	90¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	62¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 24, 7:45AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	99¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
BNB Up or Down - June 26, 4:00PM-4:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	69¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 24?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8	73¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 8AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	94¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:30AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	89¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 25?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	9	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Solana Up or Down - June 25, 3PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	99¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 24?Settled - ready to redeem	No	8	71¢ → 0¢	$0	−$6 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 27, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	98¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:45PM-5:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	5	97¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
BNB Up or Down - June 27, 2AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	99¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	5	97¢ → 0¢	$0	−$5 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
88d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 24?	BuyNo92¢	$6
88d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 24?	BuyNo90¢	$5
88d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on July 22?	BuyNo93¢	$6
88d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 24?	BuyNo61¢	$5
89d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 24?	BuyNo63¢	$6
91d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 22?	BuyNo76¢	$5
91d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 24?	BuyNo83¢	$6
91d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 24?	BuyNo73¢	$6
91d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 24?	BuyNo71¢	$6
92d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 22?	BuyNo71¢	$6
92d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 22?	BuyNo61¢	$5
92d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 17?	BuyNo99¢	$3
92d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 17?	BuyNo99¢	$3
92d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 22?	BuyNo72¢	$6
92d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 17?	BuyNo97¢	$6
92d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 20?	SellNo46¢	$4
92d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on July 22?	BuyNo90¢	$5
92d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $56,000 and $58,000 on July 22?	BuyNo96¢	$6
92d	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on July 22?	BuyNo97¢	$6
92d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?	BuyYes76¢	$5
92d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 17?	BuyYes79¢	$6
92d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 22?	BuyNo87¢	$5
93d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 17?	BuyNo91¢	$5
93d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 17?	SellNo40¢	$3
93d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?	SellNo58¢	$5
93d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 22?	BuyNo92¢	$6
93d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 17?	SellNo36¢	$4
94d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 22?	BuyNo89¢	$5
94d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 22?	BuyNo71¢	$6
94d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 17?	BuyNo48¢	$6
94d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 20?	BuyNo67¢	$5
94d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 15?	SellNo8¢	$0
94d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 17?	BuyNo72¢	$6
94d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 15?	BuyNo91¢	$5
94d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on July 17?	BuyNo98¢	$6
94d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 17?	SellNo45¢	$3
94d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 20?	BuyNo68¢	$5
94d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 15?	BuyNo94¢	$6
94d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?	BuyNo69¢	$2
94d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 20?	BuyNo69¢	$4
94d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 17?	SellNo56¢	$4
94d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 17?	SellNo44¢	$8
94d	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $54,000 on July 20?	BuyNo99¢	$6
94d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 15?	BuyYes75¢	$4
94d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 15?	BuyYes75¢	$2
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on July 20?	BuyNo91¢	$5
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on July 15?	SellNo43¢	$2
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 20?	BuyNo83¢	$6
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on July 20?	BuyNo84¢	$6
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?	BuyNo67¢	$1
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?	BuyNo67¢	$1
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?	BuyNo67¢	$1
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?	BuyNo67¢	$1
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 17?	BuyNo78¢	$5
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 15?	SellNo32¢	$3
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 20?	BuyNo79¢	$6
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 15?	BuyNo86¢	$5
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 20?	BuyNo72¢	$6
95d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 17?	BuyNo61¢	$6
95d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on July 17?	SellNo62¢	$5

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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