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Polymarket wallet 0x47e3d18badba6e9b82af92aa1d1b30a4e02b2cd8 · on Polymarket since Feb 13, 2026 · also shown as Orange-Compromise
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 12¢ → 100¢ | $125 | +$110 +733% |
| Bucks vs. ThunderSettled - ready to redeem | Bucks | 81 | 17¢ → 100¢ | $81 | +$67 +488% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 47 | 32¢ → 100¢ | $47 | +$32 +213% |
| Trail Blazers vs. JazzSettled - ready to redeem | Trail Blazers | 21 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$6 +43% |
| Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 101 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bucks vs. ThunderSettled - ready to redeem | Thunder | 36 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $15 |
| 246d | Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people? | BuyNo10¢ | $1 |
| 246d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes32¢ | $15 |
| 246d | Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people? | BuyNo10¢ | $10 |
| 246d | Bucks vs. Thunder | BuyBucks17¢ | $14 |
| 246d | Trail Blazers vs. Jazz | BuyTrail Blazers70¢ | $15 |
| 246d | Bucks vs. Thunder | BuyThunder83¢ | $15 |
| 246d | Bucks vs. Thunder | BuyThunder83¢ | $15 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.