machiavelia

Polymarket wallet 0x48ecc049f171a8c7758e5d351e5f6c3c6df58f36 · on Polymarket since Dec 11, 2025 · also shown as Short-Term-Conditioner

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $5.99K
All-time profit: +$82.6K
Volume traded: $1.36M
All-time rank: #2,279
Markets traded: 1,331
Recent hit rate: 42%21 of last 50 closed

Open positions

9 markets · $5.99K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d	No	1,928	31¢ → 96¢	$1,854	+$1,254 +209%
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?Ends in 17d	No	1,354	44¢ → 99¢	$1,338	+$739 +123%
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	928	43¢ → 99¢	$919	+$519 +130%
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	928	43¢ → 94¢	$876	+$477 +119%
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 75d	No	435	41¢ → 94¢	$409	+$231 +129%
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d	No	362	44¢ → 97¢	$351	+$191 +120%
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?Ends in 74d	No	174	42¢ → 98¢	$170	+$97 +132%
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	70	42¢ → 98¢	$68	+$39 +132%
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	2	47¢ → >99¢	$2	+$1 +112%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
86d	Livesport Prague Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Lanlana Tararudee	BuyNikola Bartunkova48¢	$594
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$0
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$1
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$158
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$1
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$1
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$210
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$0
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$1
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$210
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$2
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$2
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$2
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$2
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$2
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$2
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$2
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$2
86d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Sarah Iliev vs Marcelina Podlinska	BuyMarcelina Podlinska21¢	$2
86d	Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)	BuySeattle Sounders FC45¢	$8
86d	Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)	BuySeattle Sounders FC45¢	$23
86d	Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)	BuySeattle Sounders FC45¢	$9
86d	Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)	BuySeattle Sounders FC45¢	$27
86d	Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)	BuySeattle Sounders FC45¢	$27
86d	Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)	BuySeattle Sounders FC45¢	$27
86d	Spread: Austin FC (-1.5)	BuySeattle Sounders FC45¢	$27
86d	Austin FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5	BuyUnder44¢	$150
86d	Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)	BuyMiami Marlins38¢	$150
86d	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)	BuyAtlanta Braves44¢	$150
86d	Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)	BuyAtlanta Braves42¢	$150
86d	Will CA Paranaense win on 2026-07-22?	BuyNo41¢	$150
86d	Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Rice	BuyKeegan Rice44¢	$0
86d	Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Rice	BuyKeegan Rice44¢	$2
86d	Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Rice	BuyKeegan Rice44¢	$572
86d	Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Rice	BuyKeegan Rice44¢	$2
86d	Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Rice	BuyKeegan Rice44¢	$4
86d	Winnipeg: Rio Noguchi vs Keegan Rice	BuyKeegan Rice44¢	$16
86d	Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5	BuyUnder41¢	$2
86d	Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5	BuyUnder41¢	$8
86d	Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5	BuyUnder41¢	$10
86d	Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5	BuyUnder41¢	$6
86d	Coritiba FBC vs. SE Palmeiras: O/U 4.5	BuyUnder41¢	$0
86d	Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)	BuySt. Louis Cardinals41¢	$25
86d	Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5)	BuySt. Louis Cardinals41¢	$125
86d	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?	BuyNo36¢	$505
86d	Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by July 31?	BuyNo36¢	$95
86d	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	BuyTeam Falcons45¢	$58
86d	Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifier	BuyTeam Falcons45¢	$542
86d	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $215 on July 22?	BuyNo7¢	$6
86d	Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Aidan Mayo	BuyAlex Michelsen42¢	$251
86d	Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Aidan Mayo	BuyAlex Michelsen42¢	$87
86d	Bloomfield Hills: Alex Michelsen vs Aidan Mayo	BuyAlex Michelsen42¢	$262
86d	Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-22?	BuyNo41¢	$46
86d	Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-22?	BuyNo41¢	$2
86d	Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-22?	BuyNo41¢	$16
86d	Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-22?	BuyNo41¢	$25
86d	Will FK Dynama-Minsk win on 2026-07-22?	BuyNo41¢	$60
87d	ITF Las Palmas: Ariadna Garcia-Patron Canals vs Noemi Maines	BuyNoemi Maines47¢	$2
87d	ITF Nogent-Sur-Marne: Anna Hertel vs Kateryna Diatlova	BuyAnna Hertel42¢	$598
87d	Maitland FC vs. Fremantle City FC: Fremantle City FC O/U 1.5	BuyUnder2¢	$0

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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