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Polymarket wallet 0x4cb87641fc8e649fafe728d536785b5d26c0e737 · on Polymarket since Sep 30, 2025 · also shown as Quick-Invention
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 623 | 16¢ → 8¢ | $50 | −$50 −50% |
| ECB rate cut in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 281 | 15¢ → 4¢ | $11 | −$30 −73% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 350 | 11¢ → 2¢ | $7 | −$31 −81% |
| ECB rate hike in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,584 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$295 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$84 −100% |
| Lakers vs. ThunderSettled - ready to redeem | Lakers | 207 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 18 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.