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Polymarket wallet 0x4df2237e6bf3d4a2d51c82dcb52a1e79afa9ccf3 · on Polymarket since Jan 9, 2026 · also shown as Similar-Physical
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 29 | 51¢ → 100¢ | $29 | +$14 +96% |
| Iran strike on US military by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 67¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$7 +49% |
| Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +7.5% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 270d | Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28? | BuyNo96¢ | $20 |
| 270d | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | SellNo71¢ | $26 |
| 277d | Iran strike on US military by January 31? | BuyNo67¢ | $15 |
| 277d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo51¢ | $15 |
| 281d | Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $10 |
| 281d | US strike on Mexico by December 31? | BuyNo54¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.