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Polymarket wallet 0x52ca8cad990148ffad046766efae6dd87ffe523f · on Polymarket since Jul 3, 2025 · also shown as Troubled-Triad
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3,896 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $3,448 | +$178 +5.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 3,970 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $3,355 | +$377 +13% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 3,400 | 63¢ → 93¢ | $3,162 | +$1,020 +48% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 1,982 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $1,794 | +$228 +15% |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by August 31, 2026?Ends ended | No | 7 | 82¢ → 99¢ | $7 | +$1 +21% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.