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Polymarket wallet 0x534261fb7aff59f1cf080134dae538bbc32557bc · on Polymarket since Oct 8, 2024 · also shown as Optimal-Tonic
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,045 | 42¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$607 +139% |
| Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 46¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$2 −77% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 800k+ BTC by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,059 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$191 −100% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Australian Open?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$490 −100% |
| Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,903 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,220 −100% |
| Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026Settled - ready to redeem | No | 123 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 1,019 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$201 −100% |
| Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 145 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will André Ventura win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,029 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,136 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 25 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.