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Polymarket wallet 0x57f9820643bd9864dfa046a7bb957bda067cc84d · on Polymarket since May 11, 2025 · also shown as Winding-Forebear
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 22 | 46¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$12 +117% |
| US forces in Iran before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$1 +9.9% |
| China x India military clash by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Iranian coup attempt before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 22?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$0 +0.6% |
| U.S. fertility rate up in Q1 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 81¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.6% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 481d | Israel strike on Iran on June 22? | BuyYes99¢ | $8 |
| 481d | US forces in Iran before August? | BuyNo91¢ | $11 |
| 481d | U.S. fertility rate up in Q1 2025? | BuyNo81¢ | $1 |
| 481d | No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting? | BuyNo46¢ | $10 |
| 481d | China x India military clash by June 30? | BuyNo99¢ | $11 |
| 481d | Iranian coup attempt before July? | BuyNo94¢ | $10 |
| 481d | Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.