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Polymarket wallet 0x5b2b86ee80d7c39cbc0b333ba931a7160dfc6db1 · on Polymarket since Feb 12, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 814 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Opinion launch a token on March 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,218 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,953 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 230d | Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BuyYes9¢ | $4 |
| 230d | Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BuyYes47¢ | $10 |
| 230d | Will Opinion launch a token on March 4? | BuyYes8¢ | $10 |
| 230d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellNo<1¢ | $0 |
| 231d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? | BuyNo5¢ | $14 |
| 231d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo2¢ | $10 |
| 231d | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 1, 2026? | BuyNo4¢ | $24 |
| 243d | ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026? | BuyNo1¢ | $9 |
| 243d | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | SellYes7¢ | $9 |
| 243d | ChatGPT Outage by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $8 |
| 243d | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 243d | ChatGPT Outage by February 21, 2026? | BuyNo<1¢ | $10 |
| 245d | Government shutdown on Saturday? | SellNo99¢ | $901 |
| 247d | Government shutdown on Saturday? | BuyNo5¢ | $46 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.