| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Ends in 2d | Yes | 23 | 86¢ → 99¢ | $23 | +$3 +15% |
| Will Claude go down fewer than 5 times in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20 | 13¢ → 40¢ | $8 | +$5 +212% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 11 | 20¢ → 53¢ | $6 | +$4 +164% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 12 | 42¢ → 47¢ | $5 | +$0 +9.7% |
| Netflix (NFLX) Q3 operating margin 36%+?Ends in 2d | No | 5 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$1 +16% |
| Will NextEra Energy (NEE) Q3 operating revenue be above $9.5B?Ends in 3d | No | 4 | 75¢ → 92¢ | $4 | +$1 +22% |
| Will Giovanna Simpson win the next Burnie mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 33¢ | $3 | −$1 −17% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 3 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $3 | +$0 +8.1% |
| Will Teeny Brumby win the next Burnie mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 7 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.2% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $12B?Ends in 10d | No | 3 | 65¢ → 91¢ | $3 | +$1 +40% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 4 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $3 | −$0 −6.8% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Ends in 7d | No | 3 | 90¢ → 84¢ | $3 | −$0 −7.2% |
| Will Rick Shegog win the next West Tamar mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 4 | 68¢ → 71¢ | $3 | +$0 +4.4% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 5 | 40¢ → 52¢ | $3 | +$1 +27% |
| Will Chloe Foster win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 6 | 62¢ → 39¢ | $2 | −$2 −38% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 17.5%+?Ends in 2d | No | 2 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +24% |
| Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 10%+?Ends in 3d | No | 3 | 67¢ → 82¢ | $2 | +$0 +22% |
| Will American Express (AXP) Q3 total revenue net of interest expense be above $20.75B?Ends in 5d | No | 3 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Zepbound sales be above $6.5B?Ends in 11d | No | 3 | 67¢ → 78¢ | $2 | +$0 +17% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 54¢ | $2 | +$1 +133% |
| Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q3 Software revenue be above $7.95B?Ends in 3d | No | 3 | 74¢ → 85¢ | $2 | +$0 +15% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $562.5B by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → 50¢ | $2 | +$1 +108% |
| Will AbbVie Q3 Global Skyrizi net revenues be above $6.5B?Ends in 12d | No | 2 | 82¢ → 85¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Will Intel (INTC) Q3 Foundry revenue be above $7.5B?Ends in 11d | No | 2 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.0% |
| Will Eli Lilly (LLY) Q3 Mounjaro sales be above $13B?Ends in 11d | No | 2 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $2 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 WI-04 House election by 65%-70%?Ends in 17d | No | 2 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $2 | −$0 −3.4% |
| Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 5 | 21¢ → 38¢ | $2 | +$1 +76% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2 | 56¢ → 94¢ | $2 | +$1 +68% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $68B?Ends in 10d | No | 2 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.2% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Ends in 12d | No | 2 | 89¢ → 68¢ | $2 | −$0 −23% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 YouTube ads revenue be above $11.2B?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1 | 67¢ → 88¢ | $1 | +$0 +31% |
| Will Dillon Roberts win the next Waratah–Wynyard mayoral election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 5 | 30¢ → 26¢ | $1 | −$0 −15% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → 30¢ | $1 | +$0 +26% |
| Will Google be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 3 | 35¢ → 44¢ | $1 | +$0 +26% |
| Will the Republicans win Leavenworth County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2 | 61¢ → 76¢ | $1 | +$0 +25% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth <10%?Ends in 2d | No | 1 | 79¢ → 97¢ | $1 | +$0 +23% |
| Abbott Laboratories (ABT) Q3 comparable sales growth 6% to 8%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 44¢ | $1 | +$0 +21% |
| Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $380 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 2 | 63¢ → 76¢ | $1 | +$0 +21% |
| Will S&P Global (SPGI) Q3 Rating revenues be above $1.25B?Ends in 9d | Yes | 1 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $1 | +$0 +18% |
| Will Trudy peak at Category 5?Ends in 9d | No | 1 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +17% |
| Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 Data Center revenue be above $8B?Ends in 16d | Yes | 2 | 46¢ → 53¢ | $1 | +$0 +15% |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between -0.3% and -0.1%?Ends in 45d | No | 1 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1510 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 2 | 64¢ → 72¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Will Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 total revenue be above $8.5B?Ends in 3d | No | 1 | 70¢ → 78¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Will "Street Fighter" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 40m?Ends in 9m | No | 1 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $1 | +$0 +9.7% |
| Will Blackstone (BX) Q3 total assets under management be above $1.36T?Ends in 4d | Yes | 1 | 70¢ → 76¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.6% |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 260?Ends in 9d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.3% |
| Lam Research (LRCX) Q1 China revenue mix 26% to 30%?Ends in 3d | No | 1 | 75¢ → 79¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will the Maine Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Ends in 16d | No | 1 | 77¢ → 81¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.2% |
| McDonald's (MCD) Q3 global comparable sales growth <0%?Ends in 17d | No | 1 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.9% |
| Will Germany GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.0% and 1.2%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 2 | 41¢ → 42¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.4% |
| Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will the October 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Ends in 19d | Yes | 3 | 32¢ → 33¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.6% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 3.0%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $1 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 1 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $1 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Seagate (STX) Q1 hard drive exabyte shipments be above 250?Ends in 9d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will Troy Jackson underperform Kamala in Maine?Ends in 16d | Yes | 1 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.5% |
| Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?Ends in 16d | No | 2 | 56¢ → 54¢ | $1 | −$0 −3.6% |
| Will Troy Jackson run 6 to 9 points behind Hannah Pingree?Ends in 17d | Yes | 4 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $1 | −$0 −4.0% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | No | 1 | 78¢ → 70¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.2% and 1.5%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 3 | 36¢ → 32¢ | $1 | −$0 −11% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 3 | 38¢ → 34¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 2 | 61¢ → 54¢ | $1 | −$0 −12% |
| Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 23¢ | $1 | −$0 −15% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1 | 71¢ → 57¢ | $1 | −$0 −20% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5 | 20¢ → 16¢ | $1 | −$0 −21% |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Ends in 20d | Yes | 3 | 20¢ → 31¢ | $1 | +$0 +55% |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4 | 23¢ → 18¢ | $1 | −$0 −24% |
| Will T-Mobile (TMUS) Q3 total service revenues be above $19.2B?Ends in 10d | Yes | 1 | 77¢ → 53¢ | $1 | −$0 −31% |
| Kimi K4 released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 8¢ | $1 | −$0 −37% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 40 and 60 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | Yes | 1 | 72¢ → 44¢ | $1 | −$0 −39% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?Ends in 5d | No | 1 | 84¢ → 49¢ | $1 | −$0 −41% |
| Will DeepSeek have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Ends in 2d | Yes | 104 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$0 −43% |
| Will Brazil's Q3 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?Ends in 45d | Yes | 5 | 22¢ → 10¢ | $0 | −$1 −53% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 9 | 11¢ → 5¢ | $0 | −$1 −56% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?Ends in 9m | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 13¢ | $0 | −$1 −57% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 3 | 30¢ → 12¢ | $0 | −$1 −60% |
| Next Grok Model (4.8+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2 | 58¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$1 −85% |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 13d | Yes | 6 | 31¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$2 −94% |
| Will OpenRouter process at least 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 9 | 35¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$3 −97% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | Yes | 18 | 6¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −97% |
| Will Google have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4 | 27¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −98% |
| Will "Street Fighter" score at least 50 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 1d | Yes | 1 | 69¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −98% |
| Will Oura's market cap be between $17.5B and $20B at market close on IPO day?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4 | 25¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −98% |
| Will Holtec Nuclear's market cap be at least $14B at market close on IPO day?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 65 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30 and $2.40 in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 24¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Augusto Cury win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 5 to September 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Claude go down 8-10 times in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will 200-219 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between August 24-August 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 7 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 16m?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Alibaba be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 1 North Korea test in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
