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Polymarket wallet 0x613ba594f3b84ba05945a09ad97763f21571d8c0 · on Polymarket since Nov 30, 2025 · also shown as Exemplary-Cloister
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +22% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +16% |
| Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 228d | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | SellYes6¢ | $0 |
| 228d | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | SellYes90¢ | $24 |
| 283d | Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? | BuyYes57¢ | $40 |
| 284d | Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31? | BuyYes49¢ | $3 |
| 299d | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | BuyYes76¢ | $20 |
| 299d | Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes82¢ | $5 |
| 304d | S&P 500 all time high by December 31? | BuyNo63¢ | $5 |
| 314d | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | BuyNo86¢ | $5 |
| 316d | Will Spain participate in Eurovision 2026? | BuyNo93¢ | $3 |
| 320d | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on December 1? | BuyUp55¢ | $5 |
| 320d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on December 1? | BuyDown48¢ | $5 |
| 321d | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BuyUp51¢ | $2 |
| 321d | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on December 1? | BuyDown50¢ | $5 |
| 321d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes88¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.