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Polymarket wallet 0x616d9ae0af634442425ff2a96fa174feabeccddc · on Polymarket since Jan 24, 2026 · also shown as Satisfied-Subway
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 152d | Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BuyYes83¢ | $1 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $0 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 184d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $0 |
| 186d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | BuyUp1¢ | $5 |
| 209d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | BuyUp96¢ | $1 |
| 209d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BuyDown73¢ | $1 |
| 209d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyNo43¢ | $10 |
| 217d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 229d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SellYes>99¢ | $5 |
| 231d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes98¢ | $5 |
| 264d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 26, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown38¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.