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Polymarket wallet 0x698d382339451f6b38095992fe6d2ae28659a8ee · on Polymarket since Mar 29, 2024 · also shown as Early-Bobcat
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +100% |
| Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +7.5% |
| Will Biden pardon SBF?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +6.0% |
| SBF reduced sentence because autism?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Is John McAfee alive?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +4.2% |
| Will Trump be Speaker by May 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +1.7% |
| Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 88¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Trump and Biden both win nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 932d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes50¢ | $1 |
| 932d | Will Donald J. Trump win the 2024 Republican presidential nomination? | BuyYes93¢ | $1 |
| 932d | Trump and Biden both win nomination? | BuyYes86¢ | $1 |
| 932d | Will Joe Biden win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination? | BuyYes88¢ | $1 |
| 932d | Biden drops out of presidential race? | BuyNo84¢ | $5 |
| 932d | Is John McAfee alive? | BuyNo96¢ | $1 |
| 932d | Will Trump be Speaker by May 1? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 932d | SBF reduced sentence because autism? | BuyNo95¢ | $1 |
| 932d | Will Biden pardon SBF? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.