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Polymarket wallet 0x6a4c871812d27eaba58dadd9d60d9a59e610d836 · on Polymarket since Sep 8, 2026 · also shown as Smug-Majority
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure?Ends in 16d | No | 54 | 71¢ → 61¢ | $33 | −$6 −15% |
| Will AI solve the Hadamard matrix conjecture in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 45 | 32¢ → 17¢ | $8 | −$7 −47% |
| Will SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will the next Claude Opus model debut at a score of at least 1500 by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 27 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 36 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.