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Polymarket wallet 0x6af7201267728d1c0989c729d7eef92240af2bfb · on Polymarket since Sep 18, 2024 · also shown as Ashamed-Wolf
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 40¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +152% |
| Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +2.1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +64% |
| Annual inflation above 2.2% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 62¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +61% |
| European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 63¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +59% |
| Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 82¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +22% |
| Longshoremen east coast strike by Oct 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 89¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +12% |
| Trump sentenced to no prison time?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 751d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 751d | Longshoremen east coast strike by Oct 1? | BuyYes89¢ | $1 |
| 751d | Will Russia capture Vuhledar before October? | BuyYes73¢ | $1 |
| 751d | Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in September? | BuyNo98¢ | $1 |
| 751d | European Central Bank cuts rates in Oct meeting? | BuyYes63¢ | $1 |
| 757d | Ethereum above $2,400 on September 20? | BuyYes87¢ | $1 |
| 757d | Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024? | BuyYes40¢ | $1 |
| 757d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting? | BuyYes61¢ | $1 |
| 757d | Annual inflation above 2.2% in September? | BuyYes62¢ | $1 |
| 757d | Unemployment rate over 4.2% in September? | BuyYes56¢ | $1 |
| 757d | Will AAPL be the largest company by mcap on September 30? | BuyYes82¢ | $1 |
| 758d | Kamala positive favorability by Friday? | BuyYes65¢ | $2 |
| 758d | Trump sentenced to no prison time? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.