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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$5 +34% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 71¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$3 +41% |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 51¢ → 50¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $6 | +$1 +10% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 714 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 317d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes94¢ | $5 |
| 343d | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BuyNo51¢ | $10 |
| 343d | Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | SellYes59¢ | $13 |
| 343d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 345d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6? | BuyNo91¢ | $5 |
| 345d | Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later? | BuyYes47¢ | $10 |
| 345d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo71¢ | $7 |
| 345d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes68¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.