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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 556 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $355 | +$5 +1.4% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 314 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $303 | +$3 +1.0% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 923 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $299 | −$1 −0.5% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.