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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oil < $80; R Senate | 4% | −3 pts | — | 3¢ · 4¢ (1¢) | $14.9K | in 18d |
| Oil ≥ $80; R Senate | 30% | −1 pts | — | 29¢ · 31¢ (2¢) | $100 | in 18d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8h | C03B | Oil < $80; R Senate | BuyNo94¢ → 96¢ | $6,629 | +$135 +2.0% | 14 |
| 8h |  bigdihhh888 | Oil < $80; R Senate | BuyNo95¢ → 96¢ | $1,752 | +$20 +1.2% | 11 |
ArmageddonRewardsBilly4,000 shares
RememberAmalek1,238 shares
CryptoGerm400 shares
balthazar530 sharesSee market rules.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Oil < $80; R Senate means the market gives it about 4%.