| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 957 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $935 | −$15 −1.6% |
| ECA Women's European Cup T20: Romania Women vs Sweden WomenEnds in 6d | Sweden Women | 830 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $830 | +$55 +7.0% |
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 447 | 97¢ → 98¢ | $436 | +$5 +1.1% |
| Zimbabwe Women Tour of India T20s: India Women vs Zimbabwe WomenEnds in 7d | India Women | 375 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $368 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 373 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $238 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will oil be below $80 on November 2 and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 225 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $217 | +$2 +1.0% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 239 | 53¢ → 81¢ | $193 | +$68 +54% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 322 | 64¢ → 56¢ | $179 | −$27 −13% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement by October 23 or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 365 | 32¢ → 32¢ | $118 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 118 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $116 | +$22 +23% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 107 | 40¢ → 90¢ | $97 | +$54 +126% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 414 | 28¢ → 21¢ | $87 | −$29 −25% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 131 | 75¢ → 63¢ | $82 | −$16 −17% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 197 | 8¢ → 40¢ | $78 | +$62 +394% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 152 | 58¢ → 48¢ | $72 | −$17 −19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 73 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $72 | +$2 +3.3% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 424 | 30¢ → 16¢ | $68 | −$59 −47% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 390 | 8¢ → 17¢ | $66 | +$35 +113% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 73 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $56 | −$4 −7.0% |
| US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 284 | 15¢ → 19¢ | $53 | +$9 +22% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 57 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $51 | +$1 +1.7% |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 84 | 74¢ → 60¢ | $50 | −$12 −19% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 616 | 35¢ → 7¢ | $43 | −$174 −80% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 41 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $39 | +$2 +6.8% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.25T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 366 | 18¢ → 11¢ | $38 | −$29 −43% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 222 | 49¢ → 17¢ | $37 | −$71 −66% |
| Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027?Ends in 164d | No | 52 | 71¢ → 62¢ | $32 | −$5 −13% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 193 | 38¢ → 14¢ | $28 | −$44 −61% |
| Will Russell Westbrook play for the Oklahoma City Thunder in 2026-27?Ends in 14d | No | 28 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $28 | +$1 +4.4% |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | >99¢ → 82¢ | $25 | −$6 −18% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 23 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $23 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 29 | 90¢ → 79¢ | $23 | −$3 −13% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 21 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $21 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 26 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $21 | +$2 +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 20 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $19 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 11°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 20 | 99¢ → 98¢ | $19 | −$0 −1.5% |
| Will an F1 race be held in Qatar in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 41 | 65¢ → 47¢ | $19 | −$7 −28% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 19 | 89¢ → 92¢ | $17 | +$1 +3.9% |
| Will an F1 race be held in the United Arab Emirates in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 40¢ → 62¢ | $17 | +$6 +55% |
| Next DeepSeek Pro released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 157 | 23¢ → 10¢ | $16 | −$20 −56% |
| Will the Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 16 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $14 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 14 | 69¢ → 93¢ | $13 | +$3 +33% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 78¢ → 60¢ | $12 | −$4 −24% |
| Will the Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 66 | 29¢ → 18¢ | $12 | −$7 −38% |
| Will the Washington Wizards make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?Ends in 210d | No | 16 | 74¢ → 72¢ | $11 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.35T by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 267 | 19¢ → 4¢ | $9 | −$41 −82% |
| No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 10 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $9 | +$1 +15% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 40 | 47¢ → 22¢ | $9 | −$10 −53% |
| Will AI solve 3 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 292 | 9¢ → 2¢ | $7 | −$19 −74% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 34-35°F on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 7 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $7 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 98 | 17¢ → 7¢ | $6 | −$10 −62% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 13 | 49¢ → 37¢ | $5 | −$2 −26% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.5T and $2.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 134 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$12 −73% |
| Claude 6 released by June 30, 2027?Ends in 255d | No | 15 | 41¢ → 28¢ | $4 | −$2 −33% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 17 | 34¢ → 19¢ | $3 | −$3 −45% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) be released on October 20, 2026?Ends in 3d | Yes | 8 | 14¢ → 34¢ | $3 | +$2 +135% |
| Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 562 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $3 | −$9 −77% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 2 | 83¢ → 88¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.0% |
| Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 258 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $1 | −$2 −69% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 29 | 11¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$2 −75% |
| Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −81% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 25 | 4¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −95% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 10 | 71¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 2?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 98 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$88 −100% |
| 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 36¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 38°C on September 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on September 13?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on September 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on October 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 49 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 3?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 94 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: K27 vs SPARTA (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | SPARTA | 13 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on August 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,578 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 79 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$47 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 4?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on September 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 31-September 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 155 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on September 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 412 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$214 −100% |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best AI lab at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 4?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 2?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 86 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C or below on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 95 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$63 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 387 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$197 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on September 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 224 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$156 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 265 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$193 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on September 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Newcastle United FC vs. Liverpool FC: Liverpool FC O/U 2.5Settled - ready to redeem | Over | 23 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 26 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 14?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on October 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 108 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on September 21?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 25 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 548 | 48¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$263 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
