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Polymarket wallet 0x845976d4c79712e32ad4b8e3ca0505b85ac0fa4a · on Polymarket since Mar 3, 2026 · also shown as Sane-Assistance
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 463 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 243 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 556 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BuyDown83¢ | $25 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $11 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BuyDown74¢ | $20 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | BuyDown95¢ | $25 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BuyUp79¢ | $25 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BuyUp10¢ | $5 |
| 21d | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | BuyUp40¢ | $5 |
| 225d | Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $11 |
| 227d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BuyUp54¢ | $3 |
| 228d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $2 |
| 228d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 228d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BuyDown29¢ | $5 |
| 228d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $5 |
| 228d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 6? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.