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Polymarket wallet 0x866a78f946594dd182565fbe47bdd598087c18c4 · on Polymarket since Jun 24, 2025 · also shown as Outlandish-Council
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15 | 49¢ → 100¢ | $15 | +$8 +104% |
| Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 11 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$1 +9.1% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 51¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$5 +96% |
| Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 69 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 219 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 373d | Will Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes30¢ | $5 |
| 373d | Will International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025? | BuyYes9¢ | $5 |
| 375d | Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | BuyYes3¢ | $2 |
| 394d | Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | BuyYes5¢ | $10 |
| 394d | Will Israel strike Turkey by December 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $10 |
| 479d | Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025? | BuyNo49¢ | $8 |
| 479d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting? | BuyYes51¢ | $5 |
| 479d | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyYes17¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.