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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | — | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 290d |  Ahpo2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,321 | −$6 −0.3% | — |
| 290d |  WordleAddict | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $55,690 | +$56 +0.1% | 4 |
| 292d |  elmcap24 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $28,997 | +$190 +0.7% | 4 |
| 295d |  VegemiteLover2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,760 | +$10 +0.3% | 4 |
| 298d |  Donny.T | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,178 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 298d |  Ryxon21 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo100¢ | $4,367 | −$22 −0.5% | — |
| 300d |  archaic | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,988 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 301d |  twe2nty2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,298 | +$27 +0.8% | 4 |
| 301d |  Goopster3 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,737 | −$596 −3.6% | — |
| 301d |  Arlette2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,121 | −$203 −2.5% | — |
| 302d |  Dr.mett | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,936 | −$17 −0.9% | — |
| 302d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,504 | +$25 +1.0% | 4 |
| 303d |  Bobic | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,070 | −$10 −0.9% | — |
| 304d | a5dbee | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,297 | −$13 −1.0% | — |
| 304d | burrito338 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,874 | −$44 −0.7% | — |
| 308d | FragMalDenRalle2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,635 | −$23 −0.5% | — |
| 309d | S.T.F. | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,480 | +$20 +0.8% | 4 |
| 309d |  ScottyNooo3 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,812 | −$75 −1.3% | — |
| 310d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,592 | −$21 −1.3% | — |
| 310d | Chief-Leverage | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,172 | −$15 −1.2% | — |
| 311d |  spectral-mango-protocol | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,310 | +$21 +0.9% | 4 |
| 311d | Bucentaure3 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $6,744 | −$279 −4.1% | — |
| 311d |  scottilicious2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $15,881 | −$207 −1.3% | — |
| 312d |  FranTerC42 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,800 | +$39 +1.4% | 4 |
| 313d | archaic3 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,186 | +$193 +3.1% | 4 |
| 313d | a5dbee | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,296 | +$20 +1.5% | 4 |
| 313d | borchi | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$38 +1.5% | 4 |
| 313d |  NotTheBadWolf | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,971 | +$147 +1.6% | 4 |
| 314d | Goopster3 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $15,883 | +$680 +4.3% | 4 |
| 314d | 0x60f7293958a1b49f25a00a6af0199cbc7a1c0509 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $14,186 | −$667 −4.7% | — |
| 317d | tradervader | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$28 +1.9% | 4 |
| 317d |  GayPride3 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $32,646 | −$2,222 −6.8% | — |
| 318d |  GroyperFinancialServices | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,892 | −$108 −2.2% | — |
| 319d | deepchimp | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,013 | −$18 −1.8% | — |
| 319d | ScottyNooo | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $7,956 | +$146 +1.8% | 4 |
| 319d |  DEGENKHAN3 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,559 | +$237 +5.2% | 4 |
| 320d |  Oompa-Loompa | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,375 | +$30 +2.2% | 4 |
| 321d | ChallengerSpecialist | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,870 | −$130 −2.7% | — |
| 322d |  Bondoooor | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,934 | +$178 +2.6% | 4 |
| 322d | burningfruit3373 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,148 | +$29 +2.5% | 4 |
| 324d | f2hf84hg52h5 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $20,000 | +$475 +2.4% | 4 |
| 324d | Ryxon21 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,971 | +$114 +2.9% | 4 |
| 327d | cocococococo | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,847 | +$57 +3.1% | 4 |
| 330d | GroyperFinancialServices2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,855 | +$145 +3.0% | 4 |
| 332d | yin431044 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,192 | −$78 −3.6% | — |
| 334d | consulting | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | −$41 −3.6% | — |
| 334d | yin431044 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,197 | +$72 +3.3% | 4 |
| 334d | Rainbow-Jereme2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $17,286 | −$714 −4.1% | — |
| 337d | Arlette2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $7,950 | +$374 +4.7% | 4 |
| 337d |  pascaltiemann | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,004 | −$33 −3.3% | — |
| 338d |  Epstein6 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $21,991 | −$1,227 −5.6% | — |
| 339d |  MortWalker | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $10,912 | −$388 −3.6% | — |
| 339d | FragMalDenRalle | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,799 | +$105 +3.7% | 4 |
| 339d |  GobiDesertCanoePro2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $10,395 | −$605 −5.8% | — |
| 341d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly2 fills | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,365 | −$192 −3.6% | — |
| 341d | gumsii | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,983 | −$70 −3.5% | — |
| 343d | Palmfrog | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$124 +3.1% | 4 |
| 343d | gumsii | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,990 | +$63 +3.2% | 4 |
| 344d | QMG-CORE | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,799 | −$101 −3.6% | — |
| 346d | Chief-LeverageNew account | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,137 | +$50 +4.4% | 6 |
EternaLEnVy39,587 shares
TimeTraveler10,469 shares
xihuan25086385 sharesIf Iran halts or severely restricts international maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official governmental information, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.