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Polymarket wallet 0x8166935d7282dd79cc3ac35602ecafa1eaa46a51 · on Polymarket since May 14, 2025 · also shown as Fatherly-Godparent
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Starmer out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 82 | 85¢ → 100¢ | $82 | +$12 +17% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$9 +43% |
| Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13 | 46¢ → 100¢ | $13 | +$7 +117% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$38 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Yablunivka before August?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 54 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Elon tweet 180–194 times July 11–18?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 52 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 70 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 108 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 75 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 10 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.