ESCAFAWF

Polymarket wallet 0x8de68f9a563093b90a1a8d6d46a75783e29ce52f · on Polymarket since Dec 8, 2025 · also shown as Substantial-Emotion

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $7.51
All-time profit: +$34.2
Volume traded: $31K
All-time rank: #347,444
Markets traded: 41
Recent hit rate: 93%26 of last 28 closed

Open positions

12 markets · $7.51

Market	Holding		Paid → now
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?Ends in 106d	No	6	95¢ → 99¢	$6	+$0 +3.6%
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 134d	No	1	98¢ → 98¢	$1	+$0 +0.6%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 1?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,060	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 26?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	4,290	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$4 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,096	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,077	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,049	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 21?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,058	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,068	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,090	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$9 −100%
Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 21?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,064	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 12?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,077	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%

Latest trades

last 48

When	Market	Bet	Size
42d	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,100 Week of September 7 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$9
58d	Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of August 17 above $5.50?	BuyNo>99¢	$9
71d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 Week of August 3 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$8
79d	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,110 Week of July 27 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$8
86d	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of July 20 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$8
100d	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of July 6 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$8
144d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 26?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
152d	Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,900 on May 18?	BuyYes<1¢	$3
161d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on May 9?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,062
161d	Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 on May 8?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,061
162d	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on May 8?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,059
163d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on May 7?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,057
164d	Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on May 6?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,053
166d	10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?	BuyNo95¢	$6
169d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 1?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
179d	Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on April 21?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
186d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on April 14?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
200d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on March 31?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
210d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on March 21?	BuyYes<1¢	$3
219d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on March 12?	BuyYes<1¢	$2
244d	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 15?	BuyYes1¢	$9
252d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on February 7?	BuyNo99¢	$1,082
253d	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on February 6?	BuyNo99¢	$1,078
254d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 5?	BuyNo99¢	$1,066
255d	Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on February 4?	BuyNo99¢	$1,068
256d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 3?	BuyNo99¢	$1,038
257d	Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at >$480 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 2 – Feb 6?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
257d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on February 2?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,048
258d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on February 1?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,049
259d	Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
259d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,049
260d	U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
260d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 30?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,047
261d	Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
261d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 29?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,048
262d	Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 28?	BuyNo>99¢	$1,048
263d	Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?	SellNo>99¢	$5
264d	Bill Clinton in jail by January 31?	BuyNo>99¢	$6
265d	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	SellNo98¢	$5
265d	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	BuyNo98¢	$6
265d	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?	SellNo100¢	$5
268d	Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?	BuyNo100¢	$6
295d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 26?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
295d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 26?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
295d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 26?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
295d	Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,300 on December 26?	BuyYes<1¢	$1
313d	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	SellNo>99¢	$5
313d	Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?	BuyNo>99¢	$6

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 28 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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