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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 258d |  bosshog2 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $7,490 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 258d |  DEGENKHAN3 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,691 | +$58 +0.5% | 4 |
| 259d | Kevindoto2 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,390 | −$76 −0.9% | — |
| 260d | haraya2 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,094 | −$11 −0.4% | — |
| 260d | QMG-CORE | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $6,857 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 261d |  MONARCA-DE-LOS-MARES | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,587 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 261d |  elmcap23 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $37,301 | +$102 +0.3% | 4 |
| 263d | claudecoder34 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,090 | +$14 +0.4% | 4 |
| 264d |  Arlette4 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,083 | +$115 +0.7% | 4 |
| 264d |  Parz1vaI3 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,158 | −$55 −1.1% | — |
| 264d | Eatpraylove4 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,296 | +$216 +1.0% | 4 |
| 264d |  KingZeManel3 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,111 | +$43 +1.1% | 4 |
| 265d | enrico-vasaio | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$12 +0.6% | 4 |
| 265d |  TotallyJustGambling | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,227 | −$9 −0.7% | — |
| 265d | Adorable-Yard | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,924 | −$14 −0.7% | — |
| 267d |  DFK2 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,328 | +$108 +1.7% | 4 |
| 268d | Threadbare-Astronomy | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,081 | −$22 −0.7% | — |
| 268d | Dit26978 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,193 | −$23 −0.7% | — |
| 268d | dwFqcd4Z | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,916 | −$42 −0.7% | — |
| 269d | Watery-ScenarioNew account | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,147 | +$53 +0.9% | 4 |
| 269d | Adorable-Yard | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,868 | +$32 +1.1% | 4 |
| 270d | bosshog | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,929 | +$71 +1.4% | 4 |
| 271d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,976 | +$80 +1.3% | 4 |
| 271d | lordedward2 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,779 | −$37 −1.3% | — |
| 272d | aviato | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,754 | −$23 −1.3% | — |
| 273d | M888 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,083 | +$15 +1.4% | 4 |
| 274d | dwFqcd4Z | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $21,934 | +$402 +1.8% | 4 |
| 274d | Dit26978 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,071 | +$29 +2.7% | 4 |
| 274d | QMG-CORE | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,333 | +$36 +1.6% | 4 |
| 274d | dzsibenaja5 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,527 | +$188 +1.8% | 4 |
| 275d | TheMayor2 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,595 | +$70 +2.7% | 4 |
| 275d |  WongKimArk | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,465 | +$32 +2.2% | 4 |
| 276d |  classified | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,201 | +$27 +2.2% | 4 |
| 277d | FedFan | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,523 | +$42 +2.8% | 4 |
| 278d | Contrarian - 7451 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | +$37 +2.8% | 4 |
| 280d |  scottilicious | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $16,946 | −$438 −2.6% | — |
| 280d |  lmtfalone | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,436 | −$28 −2.0% | — |
| 282d |  dooby | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,629 | +$16 +1.0% | 4 |
| 282d | acrx999 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,004 | −$55 −1.4% | — |
| 283d | Huludubu | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,764 | −$34 −1.2% | — |
| 283d | Gdub | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,382 | +$13 +0.9% | 4 |
| 283d | Kevindoto | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,996 | +$143 +1.0% | 4 |
| 284d |  Tenebrus72 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,363 | −$37 −1.6% | — |
| 284d |  truthteller2 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,844 | −$62 −1.6% | — |
| 284d |  ImJustKen | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $13,320 | −$272 −2.0% | — |
| 284d |  Oompa-Loompa | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | −$18 −1.6% | — |
| 285d |  pup1 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,744 | +$33 +1.9% | 4 |
| 285d | f2hf84hg52h5 | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,185 | +$133 +2.2% | 4 |
| 285d |  MasonsConqueredRome | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,502 | +$64 +2.6% | 4 |
| 285d | lmtfalone | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,881 | +$47 +1.6% | 4 |
| 285d | ImJustKen | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,290 | +$173 +2.1% | 4 |
| 285d | JuniorB | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,246 | +$46 +3.7% | 4 |
| 286d | scottilicious3 fills | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $10,628 | +$399 +3.8% | 4 |
| 286d | Huludubu | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,404 | +$68 +4.8% | 4 |
| 286d | haraya | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$71 +3.5% | 4 |
| 286d | Parz1vaI | U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,812 | +$115 +6.4% | 4 |
donglai669,483 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration announces that the United States officially recognizes Maria Corina Machado as the leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Roles that could qualify for leader of Venezuela status include, but are not limited to, "head of state," "president," or other similar roles that give her primary executive authority in the territory of Venezuela. A qualifying US statement must be direct and unqualified. Conditional, hypothetical, supportive, or implied statements do not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and Donald Trump, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.