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Polymarket wallet 0xa15c2fde104f4b4dfe21b01fae4bac975ace10da · on Polymarket since May 29, 2024 · also shown as Threadbare-Handsaw
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $60 | +$10 +20% |
| Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 45 | 88¢ → 100¢ | $45 | +$5 +14% |
| Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 35 | 86¢ → 100¢ | $35 | +$5 +16% |
| North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 33 | 91¢ → 100¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.9% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 707d | Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire in 2024? | BuyNo88¢ | $40 |
| 707d | Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024? | BuyNo86¢ | $30 |
| 707d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ | $30 |
| 707d | Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024? | BuyNo83¢ | $50 |
| 707d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo97¢ | $1,156 |
| 707d | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024? | SellNo97¢ | $5 |
| 871d | OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ | $5 |
| 871d | Ilya doesn't announce plans by May 31? | BuyYes94¢ | $5 |
| 871d | Aave removes DAI as collateral before June? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5 |
| 871d | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ | $1,000 |
| 871d | Labour wins the most seats in next UK election? | BuyYes95¢ | $100 |
| 871d | Will Rishi Sunak be next UK prime minister? | BuyNo96¢ | $10 |
| 871d | Trump in jail before election day? | BuyNo85¢ | $10 |
| 871d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes57¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 8 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.