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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654d |  lee0708 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,565 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 654d | woshiLimpeh | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $3,497 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 654d | AIisTheNewWalkingDead | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,834 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 654d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $58,604 | +$59 +0.1% | 20 |
| 654d |  88888LUCKY88888 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,192 | −$9 −0.4% | — |
| 656d | Player161 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,658 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 |
| 656d | darrenchk1 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,666 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 656d | jackong | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $1,045 | −$5 −0.5% | — |
| 656d |  vocifer2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $36,353 | +$142 +0.4% | 20 |
| 656d |  samuraiCAT-0393 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,030 | −$70 −1.4% | — |
| 656d |  Apple124z2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,786 | −$46 −0.8% | — |
| 658d |  ADudeEgg | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,478 | +$16 +0.3% | 20 |
| 658d | Offshore-472 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo100¢ | $1,684 | +$8 +0.5% | 20 |
| 659d | biggy2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,625 | −$191 −2.2% | — |
| 659d | Gipa3 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,803 | −$59 −1.0% | — |
| 659d | TheBoyBilly... | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | −$6 −0.6% | — |
| 659d | semi2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,129 | +$49 +1.0% | 20 |
| 660d |  CallmeEuphoria | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,421 | −$39 −0.9% | — |
| 660d | lukeeeeeeeee | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo100¢ | $5,109 | +$26 +0.5% | 20 |
| 660d | MAGA.MUSK5 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,358 | +$261 +1.3% | 20 |
| 661d |  mochiko | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,241 | +$14 +0.6% | 20 |
| 661d | polywog | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $16,711 | +$101 +0.6% | 20 |
| 661d |  RememberAmalek | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,639 | +$54 +0.7% | 20 |
| 662d |  kuuuujyli | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,526 | +$162 +1.1% | 20 |
| 663d | ChrisV2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,413 | +$87 +1.4% | 20 |
| 663d | MAGA.MUSK2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,373 | −$324 −1.7% | — |
| 664d | vhv0500 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,489 | −$43 −1.7% | — |
| 664d |  debased | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,002 | −$16 −1.6% | — |
| 665d | Skaliz | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,476 | −$24 −1.6% | — |
| 665d | vhv0500 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$31 +1.3% | 20 |
| 665d | Drange | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,213 | +$36 +1.6% | 20 |
| 666d | ExhaustedBoyBilly2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,250 | −$169 −2.0% | — |
| 666d | aha9992 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,286 | +$120 +1.9% | 20 |
| 666d |  6D850F371ADA786DF972A32fAC898209E50D1C11 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,437 | +$22 +1.5% | 20 |
| 666d | jqzp51243 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $23,108 | +$488 +2.1% | 20 |
| 666d | junejuly | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,470 | −$81 −1.8% | — |
| 667d | 0x1B67a8919475F | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,377 | +$45 +1.3% | 20 |
| 667d | souschef | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | −$38 −1.5% | — |
| 667d |  SPMontreal | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,283 | +$17 +1.3% | 20 |
| 667d | mausman4 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,247 | −$43 −1.9% | — |
| 668d |  Justitia2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,198 | −$77 −2.4% | — |
| 668d | junejuly2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,088 | +$54 +1.3% | 20 |
| 668d | AAEE3 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $29,230 | +$469 +1.6% | 20 |
| 669d | Bruce0913 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,102 | +$18 +1.6% | 20 |
| 669d | FamilyMart2 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,244 | +$70 +1.6% | 20 |
| 670d | xiaomisuv | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | +$28 +1.5% | 20 |
| 670d | YUCHENGADV10 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $68,863 | +$1,499 +2.2% | 20 |
| 670d | lee0708 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,533 | +$37 +2.4% | 20 |
| 670d | dewwde | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | −$1,200 −100% | 21 |
| 670d | sasawqeedwq | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,222 | −$24 −2.0% | — |
| 670d | sasawqeedwq | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$20 +1.6% | 20 |
| 670d | wfwefdewed | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,214 | −$21 −1.7% | — |
| 670d | samuraiCAT-039 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$65 +1.6% | 20 |
| 671d | CallmeEuphoria | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,856 | +$63 +1.6% | 20 |
| 671d | debased | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,405 | +$26 +1.8% | 20 |
| 671d | Apple124z3 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,308 | +$221 +2.1% | 20 |
| 672d | wfwefdewed | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,210 | +$26 +2.1% | 20 |
| 672d | pallete | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$31 +2.4% | 20 |
| 672d | nordfanmeta | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,403 | +$73 +2.1% | 20 |
| 672d | OEM4 fills | Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $8,999 | +$343 +3.8% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Taiwan by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.