Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 654d | 3r3rsdfs7 fills | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $16,229 | +$1,224 +7.5% | 20 |
| 654d | Nowhere-Man | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 654d | vuhalfhudzaovolkhawtdfgt | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,262 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 654d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo>99¢ | $2,988 | −$12 −0.4% | — | |
| 656d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $12,166 | +$171 +1.4% | 20 | |
| 658d | TheBoyBilly...2 fills | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $13,052 | +$118 +0.9% | 20 |
| 659d | TheBoyBilly... | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,808 | −$16 −0.9% | — |
| 662d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $82,759 | +$14,556 +18% | 20 | |
| 663d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $7,506 | −$668 −8.9% | — | |
| 667d | GrayCat | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | −$25 −2.4% | — |
| 667d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,475 | +$89 +2.6% | 20 | |
| 668d | ykqYM4449xaDbRQp3 fills | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $35,174 | −$1,692 −4.8% | — |
| 669d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,918 | −$83 −4.3% | — | |
| 671d | FiolioFolio | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$166 +3.3% | 20 |
| 675d | ggamja | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | −$66 −6.2% | — |
| 676d | yamm | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$76 −7.5% | — |
| 676d | dggggggggg | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,011 | −$67 −6.6% | — |
| 676d | deddddddfd | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | −$63 −6.2% | — |
| 676d | NewJeanss | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,015 | −$60 −5.9% | — |
| 677d | nacjac2 fills | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,445 | +$103 +4.2% | 20 |
| 679d | jongp | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | −$80 −5.3% | — |
| 679d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,409 | −$90 −6.4% | — | |
| 680d | jongp | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,512 | +$80 +5.3% | 20 |
| 682d | Khan1407 | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,556 | +$192 +7.5% | 20 |
| 682d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,339 | −$176 −7.5% | — | |
| 682d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,988 | −$197 −9.9% | — | |
| 682d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,260 | +$1,260 +100% | — | |
| 682d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $2,516 | −$2,516 −100% | 26 | |
| 682d | NewJeanss | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$75 +7.5% | 20 |
| 682d | deddddddfd | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$75 +7.5% | 20 |
| 682d | dggggggggg | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$78 +7.8% | 20 |
| 682d | yamm | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$87 +8.7% | 20 |
| 682d | kimbab22 fills | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $7,604 | +$598 +7.9% | 20 |
| 682d | KIMCHI | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellYes7¢ → 0¢ | $1,674 | +$1,674 +100% | — |
| 682d | fire21s2 fills | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,142 | +$307 +9.8% | 20 |
| 682d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,269 | +$141 +11% | 20 | |
| 682d | ZeZeZe | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | +$224 +19% | 20 |
| 683d | KIMCHI | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyYes14¢ → 0¢ | $1,311 | −$1,311 −100% | 22 |
| 687d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$89 +6.4% | 20 | |
| 688d | SeeAndHear2 fills | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $3,961 | +$338 +8.5% | 20 |
| 694d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,697 | +$777 +14% | 20 | |
| 694d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$153 +14% | 20 | |
| 696d | 0x549697EE2 fills | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo87¢ → 100¢ | $17,019 | −$2,439 −14% | — |
| 700d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,010 | +$175 +8.7% | 20 | |
| 707d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $18,944 | +$2,673 +14% | 20 | |
| 709d | ykqYM4449xaDbRQp | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $32,246 | +$4,620 +14% | 20 |
| 709d | 0x549697EE | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $37,568 | +$5,842 +16% | 20 |
| 709d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,680 | +$320 +19% | 20 | |
| 712d | polywog | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $70,587 | +$19,413 +28% | 20 |
| 713d | Ximik | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $1,110 | +$351 +32% | 20 |
| 714d | commeowder | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $2,190 | +$810 +37% | 20 |
| 714d | NemSoha | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,978 | +$732 +37% | 20 |
| 717d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $2,959 | −$791 −27% | — | |
| 717d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,400 | +$600 +25% | 20 | |
| 718d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$750 +25% | 20 | |
| 720d | hellocryptokr | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | +$353 +25% | 20 |
| 728d | North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$300 +18% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of North Korea (Democratic People's Republic of Korea) and South Korea (Republic of Korea) between October 13, 2024, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between North Korean and South Korean military forces. Non-violent actions, such as the deployment of balloons, audio broadcasts, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.