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Polymarket wallet 0xa7cea71236b758261330784d21b3d7ea6c82df06 · on Polymarket since Nov 27, 2025 · also shown as Hilarious-Oboe
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 31,077 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $28,125 | +$682 +2.5% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 11,461 | 92¢ → 95¢ | $10,836 | +$249 +2.4% |
| Will the Senate pass the Clarity Act by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 6,210 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $6,111 | +$292 +5.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 3,922 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $3,549 | +$216 +6.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,296 | 91¢ → 91¢ | $2,078 | −$11 −0.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 50 | 73¢ → 81¢ | $40 | +$4 +10% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.