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Polymarket wallet 0xa8de76ef9943062b8a02582d140cdaa8ff0d5976 · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026 · also shown as Thrifty-Expression
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 16¢ → 66¢ | $5 | +$3 +309% |
| Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,333 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$15 −88% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,333 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$12 −87% |
| Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 34 | 8¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$2 −64% |
| 1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?Ends in 134d | Yes | 51 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $1 | +$0 +158% |
| Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 86 | 2¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −83% |
| Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1 | 31¢ → 19¢ | $0 | −$0 −39% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 2.0% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 4 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $0 | −$0 −62% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 334 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 46 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.