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Polymarket wallet 0xae0476c8ec5d2c04031262efa22c7c89b332511a · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Odd-Strawman
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,173 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $41 | −$79 −66% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 417 | 24¢ → 3¢ | $12 | −$88 −88% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 624 | 10¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$52 −86% |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 323 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,010 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 211 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $100 |
| 275d | NATO dissolves before 2027? | BuyYes10¢ | $60 |
| 275d | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $20 |
| 275d | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BuyYes24¢ | $100 |
| 275d | US x Denmark Military clash before 2027? | BuyYes10¢ | $120 |
| 275d | US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026? | BuyYes22¢ | $100 |
| 275d | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BuyYes31¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.