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Polymarket wallet 0xb3e3e32ac998f05d7c7352e27e5165444847fbb0 · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026 · also shown as Warped-Pyramid
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 376 | 100¢ → 100¢ | $376 | +$2 +0.5% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 75 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $74 | +$2 +2.4% |
| Megaquake by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Miami address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 12¢ → 100¢ | $8 | +$7 +708% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 99¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Miami address?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 201d | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $3 |
| 201d | Megaquake by March 31? | BuyNo99¢ | $10 |
| 222d | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during Miami address? | BuyYes12¢ | $1 |
| 222d | Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times during Miami address? | BuyYes62¢ | $6 |
| 239d | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | SellYes59¢ | $51 |
| 239d | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | SellYes50¢ | $7 |
| 240d | Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026? | BuyYes33¢ | $33 |
| 243d | Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? | BuyNo96¢ | $72 |
| 243d | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes1¢ | $25 |
| 255d | US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026? | BuyNo>99¢ | $50 |
| 276d | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes1¢ | $25 |
| 276d | Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo100¢ | $374 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.