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Polymarket wallet 0xb7ba11338939f13ffafa5ab3da2bb1314e0c1c14 · on Polymarket since Oct 17, 2024 · also shown as Smoggy-Joey
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 73¢ → 100¢ | $12 | +$3 +37% |
| Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 192 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$79 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 113d | Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026 | BuyNo73¢ | $9 |
| 435d | Will Azerbaijan join the Abraham Accords in 2025? | BuyNo63¢ | $5 |
| 703d | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 Nitto ATP Finals? | BuyNo39¢ | $4 |
| 724d | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO in 2024? | BuyYes6¢ | $0 |
| 730d | Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | SellYes<1¢ | $5 |
| 730d | Solana above $145 on October 18? | BuyYes91¢ | $3 |
| 730d | Will three SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024? | BuyNo75¢ | $2 |
| 730d | Will 'Smile 2' gross less than $21m opening weekend? | BuyNo50¢ | $2 |
| 730d | Will Trump say "Venezuela" 3 or more times during Arizona rally on October 13? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2 |
| 730d | Will Trump lead in RCP on Oct 18? | BuyNo100¢ | $1 |
| 730d | Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 730d | Scroll airdrop in 2024? | BuyYes>99¢ | $5 |
| 730d | Diddy sex tape released before November? | BuyNo89¢ | $1 |
| 730d | Taylor Swift engaged in 2024? | BuyNo82¢ | $0 |
| 730d | US GDP declines in Q3 2024? | BuyNo98¢ | $0 |
| 730d | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo41¢ | $79 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.