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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump's tie be red?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 56 | 32¢ → 100¢ | $56 | +$38 +213% |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 18 | 57¢ → 100¢ | $18 | +$8 +75% |
| Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 104 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 234d | Will Trump drink water during the State of the Union? | BuyYes20¢ | $21 |
| 234d | Will Donald Trump's tie be red? | BuyYes32¢ | $18 |
| 240d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes57¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.