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Polymarket wallet 0xbe1d4b587fb86cbb5dd15b40f7eafc2f45c4e8bb · on Polymarket since Aug 25, 2024 · also shown as Sociable-Emergent
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 455 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $455 | +$46 +11% |
| Odds of Russia x Ukraine ceasefire on Friday over 7%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.