nilaos

Polymarket wallet 0xc4f19911c2fa24cd9b5510f926230e5dfd04ce98 · on Polymarket since Jan 13, 2026 · also shown as Ignorant-Leadership

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $0
All-time profit: −$1.68K
Volume traded: $514K
All-time rank: #3,098,393
Markets traded: 14
Recent hit rate: 67%6 of last 9 closed

Open positions

5 markets · $0

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	400	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$200 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	833	3¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	167	60¢ → 0¢	$0	−$100 −100%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	955	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$50 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	250	10¢ → 0¢	$0	−$25 −100%

Latest trades

last 57

When	Market	Bet	Size
94d	Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?	BuyYes56¢	$289
102d	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BuyYes48¢	$132
102d	Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?	BuyYes47¢	$1
118d	Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?	BuyYes50¢	$203
143d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	BuyUp10¢	$27
143d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	BuyUp3¢	$27
157d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	BuyDown60¢	$103
157d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	BuyDown85¢	$101
157d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	BuyDown85¢	$101
157d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	BuyDown81¢	$101
157d	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	BuyDown78¢	$102
258d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo<1¢	$22
259d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo<1¢	$1
259d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo1¢	$100
259d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo1¢	$0
259d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo1¢	$1
259d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo1¢	$0
259d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo1¢	$98
259d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo1¢	$0
259d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo1¢	$7
259d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo1¢	$15
259d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo1¢	$500
260d	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?	BuyYes10¢	$20
260d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo<1¢	$100
260d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo<1¢	$100
261d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo<1¢	$200
261d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	SellYes64¢	$192
261d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	SellYes64¢	$1
261d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	SellYes64¢	$1
261d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo<1¢	$120
261d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo<1¢	$200
261d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo<1¢	$20
261d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	BuyYes73¢	$140
261d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	BuyYes73¢	$82
261d	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?	BuyYes3¢	$10
261d	Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	BuyNo<1¢	$4
263d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?	SellUp>99¢	$106
263d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?	SellYes2¢	$19
263d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	SellYes17¢	$97
263d	Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Australian Open?	BuyYes4¢	$20
263d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 27?	BuyUp94¢	$100
263d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	BuyYes73¢	$257
263d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?	BuyYes5¢	$40
264d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	BuyYes44¢	$100
264d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?	SellYes3¢	$38
264d	S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 26?	BuyUp80¢	$25
264d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?	BuyYes2¢	$25
264d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?	SellYes2¢	$4
264d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?	SellYes2¢	$3
264d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?	SellYes2¢	$1
264d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?	SellYes2¢	$10
264d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	SellYes24¢	$211
265d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	BuyYes18¢	$60
265d	US government shutdown Saturday?	SellYes77¢	$56
265d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?	BuyYes1¢	$10
265d	Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?	BuyYes19¢	$100
265d	US government shutdown Saturday?	BuyYes69¢	$50

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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