TimJames

Polymarket wallet 0xc944805d2e191abc0b91601839762bfb6487e252 · on Polymarket since Nov 13, 2025 · also shown as Grandiose-Mansion

Open on Polymarket ↗@ManishG44782737 ↗

Positions now worth: $5.81
All-time profit: −$3.5K
Volume traded: $103K
All-time rank: #3,154,565
Markets traded: 190
Recent hit rate: 100%50 of last 50 closed

Open positions

91 markets · $5.81

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Settled - ready to redeem	No	2	61¢ → 100¢	$2	+$1 +64%
Will Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	94¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +6.4%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	96¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +4.2%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	97¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +3.5%
Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	97¢ → 100¢	$1	+$0 +3.1%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Will the price of Solana be above $110 on November 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	333	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 8:45PM-9:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:00PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 1:15AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?Settled - ready to redeem	No	6	16¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?Settled - ready to redeem	No	16	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 51-52°F on November 14?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1,000	<1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 2:15AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on November 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	200	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 10:15PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:30AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	5	20¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem	No	1	88¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 10:30PM-10:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 15?Settled - ready to redeem	No	22	4¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 5:00AM-5:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 10:45PM-11:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 2:00AM-2:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 12:00AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 5:30AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 1, 5:15AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 11:45PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 16, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	1,000	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$500 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	500	50¢ → 0¢	$0	−$250 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
286d	Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?	BuyNo97¢	$1
306d	Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 15?	BuyNo>99¢	$1
308d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
308d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
308d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
308d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$7
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$243
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
309d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$235
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$15
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$6
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$26
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$218
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$235
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$15
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$157
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$93
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
310d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$246
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$4
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$246
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$4
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$250
311d	Ethereum Up or Down - December 10, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	BuyDown50¢	$248

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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