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Polymarket wallet 0xcb858aa83c30a1d8c67adff64b1d940796093ee2 · on Polymarket since Oct 29, 2025 · also shown as Outrageous-Leap
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 9,896 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $9,693 | +$197 +2.1% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 1,235 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $1,187 | +$84 +7.6% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 165 | 61¢ → 65¢ | $107 | +$7 +7.2% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$23 −100% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 310 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$121 −100% |
| Will France win on 2026-07-18?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 540 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$302 −100% |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreSettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 580 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$251 −100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 95 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 119 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-07-02?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.