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Polymarket wallet 0xd79c3458bf1cc0f9a0f0be9460aba732025fcf5f · on Polymarket since Dec 10, 2025 · also shown as Optimistic-Affidavit
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 178,493 | 12¢ → 2¢ | $3,659 | −$18,101 −83% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 114,090 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,066 −100% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31,119 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,000 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40,335 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 268d | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BuyYes12¢ | $21,760 |
| 268d | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $2,000 |
| 311d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo4¢ | $4,066 |
| 311d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.