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Polymarket wallet 0xda3d129e8781a8232a51f5b1b54b26476cd0054e · on Polymarket since Feb 12, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,641 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 556 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 333 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 143 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 95 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 38 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 85d | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26? | BuyNo21¢ | $30 |
| 181d | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $50 |
| 191d | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $30 |
| 200d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | SellDown99¢ | $26 |
| 200d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET | BuyDown37¢ | $10 |
| 200d | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BuyYes58¢ | $50 |
| 211d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET | BuyDown26¢ | $10 |
| 215d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | BuyUp16¢ | $15 |
| 215d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $10 |
| 236d | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BuyYes18¢ | $100 |
| 247d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12? | SellUp1¢ | $20 |
| 247d | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12? | BuyUp3¢ | $50 |
| 247d | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.