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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 541 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,120 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 207d | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BuyNo<1¢ | $10 |
| 207d | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BuyNo<1¢ | $20 |
| 207d | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BuyNo<1¢ | $20 |
| 251d | Over $200K committed to the Foresee public sale? | BuyNo5¢ | $100 |
| 292d | Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? | BuyNo37¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.