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Polymarket wallet 0xe15c39db2cb83d64f142d819aed6015db780ffdf · on Polymarket since Feb 13, 2024 · also shown as Active-Agriculture
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,312 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$250 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,333 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,839 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,878 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$600 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,463 | 41¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$600 −100% |
| Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,793 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,000 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,333 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 249d | US strikes Iran by February 12, 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $100 |
| 249d | US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $100 |
| 249d | US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 260d | Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31? | BuyYes11¢ | $250 |
| 843d | Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the debate? | BuyYes41¢ | $600 |
| 845d | Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination? | BuyYes12¢ | $600 |
| 942d | Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? | BuyYes37¢ | $1,000 |
| 956d | Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2024? | BuyYes32¢ | $1,000 |
| 977d | Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31? | BuyYes18¢ | $190 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.