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Polymarket wallet 0xe4d5eb21f5352b3cb34a2c5847b7b9463dae86b1 · on Polymarket since Nov 11, 2025 · also shown as Critical-Department
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 543 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $543 | +$43 +8.7% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 385 | 52¢ → 100¢ | $385 | +$185 +92% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,667 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,392 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$123 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 909 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 435 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 309d | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $500 |
| 309d | Will Salvador Alejandro César Nasralla Salum win the 2025 Honduran presidential election by between 1% and 2%? | BuyYes9¢ | $123 |
| 309d | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SellNo99¢ | $20 |
| 309d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellNo70¢ | $817 |
| 309d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SellYes29¢ | $334 |
| 332d | Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BuyNo99¢ | $20 |
| 332d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyNo72¢ | $840 |
| 332d | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes29¢ | $334 |
| 332d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 332d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 332d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes46¢ | $200 |
| 332d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes52¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.