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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 113 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $113 | +$34 +43% |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 233 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 995 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 129d | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | BuyYes70¢ | $80 |
| 186d | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BuyYes2¢ | $20 |
| 240d | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $50 |
| 264d | Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyNo16¢ | $8 |
| 264d | Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026? | BuyYes59¢ | $29 |
| 264d | Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | BuyYes32¢ | $37 |
| 264d | Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)? | BuyYes5¢ | $24 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.