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Polymarket wallet 0xf1be5e75e056ff7a5bca88668980c9f594f6fa77 · on Polymarket since Sep 28, 2024 · also shown as Real-Median
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 250 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $161 | −$1 −0.8% |
| Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 150 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $130 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 57 | 76¢ → 73¢ | $41 | −$2 −4.9% |
| Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 61 | 55¢ → 32¢ | $19 | −$14 −42% |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 79¢ → 27¢ | $7 | −$13 −66% |
| Will Anthropic's public ticker be $ANTH?Ends in 440d | Yes | 13 | 69¢ → 39¢ | $5 | −$4 −44% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20h | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña vs. Levante UD end in a draw? | BuyYes28¢ | $3 |
| 20h | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-18? AND Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-17? | Buy51¢ | $5 |
| 1d | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-10-15? AND Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-15? AND Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-15? | Buy87¢ | $10 |
| 2d | Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-10-14? AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-14? AND Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? AND Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | Buy82¢ | $10 |
| 2d | Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-10-14? AND Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? AND Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-10-14? AND Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-14? | Buy68¢ | $10 |
| 3d | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-13? AND Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-10-13? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-13? AND Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-10-13? | Buy55¢ | $5 |
| 4d | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alex de Minaur vs Karen Khachanov AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Alexander Bublik | Buy33¢ | $5 |
| 5d | Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw? | BuyYes24¢ | $3 |
| 6d | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Felix Auger-Aliassime AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Taylor Fritz | Buy45¢ | $5 |
| 7d | Shanghai Rolex Masters: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Rafael Jodar AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Matteo Arnaldi vs Taylor Fritz AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Jiri Lehecka vs Nuno Borges AND Shanghai Rolex Masters: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Carlos Alcaraz | Buy37¢ | $5 |
| 8d | Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | SellNo70¢ | $4 |
| 8d | Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | BuyYes48¢ | $10 |
| 8d | Will Microsoft launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | BuyYes58¢ | $23 |
| 8d | Will Perplexity launch a Muse-like personal agent before 2027? | BuyNo68¢ | $3 |
| 9d | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BuyYes77¢ | $42 |
| 9d | Will Málaga CF vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw? | BuyYes31¢ | $4 |
| 10d | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-10? AND Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-10-11? AND Will Colombia win on 2026-10-06? | Buy41¢ | $5 |
| 11d | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SellYes35¢ | $84 |
| 11d | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SellYes35¢ | $21 |
| 11d | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SellYes35¢ | $2 |
| 11d | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SellYes35¢ | $2 |
| 11d | Will Sweden win on 2026-10-05? AND Will Northern Ireland vs. Georgia end in a draw? | Buy35¢ | $7 |
| 11d | Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Poland end in a draw? AND Will France vs. Belgium end in a draw? | Buy12¢ | $7 |
| 11d | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SellYes35¢ | $66 |
| 11d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes65¢ | $19 |
| 12d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes65¢ | $20 |
| 12d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes65¢ | $99 |
| 12d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes65¢ | $3 |
| 12d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes65¢ | $9 |
| 12d | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BuyYes65¢ | $13 |
| 12d | Will Kosovo vs. Austria end in a draw? AND Will Republic of Ireland win on 2026-10-04? | Buy19¢ | $10 |
| 12d | Patriots vs. Bills AND Jets vs. Bears | Buy48¢ | $10 |
| 14d | Will Estonia vs. Luxembourg end in a draw? AND Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-10-04? | Buy13¢ | $7 |
| 14d | Will Ukraine win on 2026-10-02? AND Will Slovakia win on 2026-10-02? | Buy27¢ | $5 |
| 14d | Will France win on 2026-10-02? AND Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Buy19¢ | $10 |
| 15d | Will Finland vs. Albania end in a draw? AND Will England win on 2026-10-03? | Buy16¢ | $10 |
| 15d | Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-02? AND Will Cyprus vs. Armenia end in a draw? | Buy15¢ | $10 |
| 16d | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? AND Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | Buy34¢ | $5 |
| 18d | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? AND Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29? | Buy38¢ | $5 |
| 19d | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? AND Will England win on 2026-09-29? AND Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | Buy19¢ | $5 |
| 20d | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? AND Will Lithuania vs. Azerbaijan end in a draw? AND Will Denmark win on 2026-09-27? | Buy14¢ | $5 |
| 21d | Will Austria win on 2026-09-27? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-26? AND Will Bulgaria win on 2026-09-26? | Buy20¢ | $5 |
| 21d | US x China tariff agreement by September 30? | SellYes86¢ | $10 |
| 21d | US x China tariff agreement by September 30? | BuyYes86¢ | $10 |
| 21d | Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? | SellYes75¢ | $4 |
| 21d | Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? | BuyYes75¢ | $0 |
| 21d | Will Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri be the next Prime Minister of Morocco? | BuyYes75¢ | $4 |
| 22d | Will Haiti win on 2026-09-24? AND Will Georgia win on 2026-09-25? | Buy34¢ | $7 |
| 23d | Korea Open: Jelena Ostapenko vs Taylah Preston AND Singapore Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Leylah Fernandez | Buy57¢ | $5 |
| 24d | San Diego 2: Mitchell Krueger vs Sebastian Gorzny AND Singapore Open: Alycia Parks vs Leylah Fernandez | Buy44¢ | $5 |
| 25d | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BuyYes91¢ | $68 |
| 25d | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BuyYes91¢ | $23 |
| 29d | Guadalajara Open Akron: Marta Kostyuk vs Liudmila Samsonova AND Guadalajara Open Akron: Magdalena Frech vs Iva Jovic | Buy73¢ | $10 |
| 30d | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | BuyYes81¢ | $24 |
| 32d | Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-09-15? AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14? | Buy26¢ | $5 |
| 33d | US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton AND Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-09-14? | Buy36¢ | $5 |
| 35d | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-12? AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-13? | Buy59¢ | $5 |
| 36d | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-12? AND Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-12? | Buy54¢ | $5 |
| 36d | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10? | SellYes>99¢ | $20 |
| 36d | Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10? | BuyYes92¢ | $18 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.