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Polymarket wallet 0xf7324a671090c3fb680659d5c96c0cae5b0aa1d0 · on Polymarket since May 9, 2025 · also shown as Crazy-Excess
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32 | 62¢ → 100¢ | $32 | +$12 +61% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $26 | +$6 +30% |
| Yoon in jail before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $26 | +$6 +30% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 21 | 97¢ → 100¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Will OpenAI release an open source model before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 56¢ → 100¢ | $20 | +$9 +79% |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 16 | 70¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$5 +43% |
| US recession in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 39 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Bitcoin all time high by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 57 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| US-China trade deal before June?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 525d | US-China trade deal before June? | BuyNo50¢ | $10 |
| 525d | Will OpenAI release an open source model before July? | BuyNo56¢ | $11 |
| 525d | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | SellNo95¢ | $29 |
| 525d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before June? | BuyNo70¢ | $11 |
| 525d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday? | BuyNo97¢ | $20 |
| 525d | Bitcoin all time high by June 30? | BuyNo35¢ | $20 |
| 525d | Yoon in jail before July? | BuyNo77¢ | $20 |
| 525d | Pakistan military strike on India by Friday? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 525d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? | BuyNo77¢ | $20 |
| 525d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July? | BuyNo62¢ | $20 |
| 525d | US recession in 2025? | BuyYes51¢ | $20 |
| 525d | Will India invade Pakistan before July? | BuyNo81¢ | $25 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.